Demographic Analysis of Liberal-Leaning Electoral Districts in Canada

Got it. I’ll start by identifying all federal electoral districts currently marked as “leaning” or “likely” Liberal on 338Canada, and cross-reference those with the 2021 census data. I’ll extract and present the percentage of the population in each district that is aged 20–39 and 55 and older. I’ll also note where census boundaries don’t perfectly align with current districts.Once that’s complete, I can move on to other parties in a second round. I’ll let you know as soon as the Liberal-focused results are ready.According to the 2021 Census of Population (Statistics Canada)lop.parl.ca, the federal districts “leaning” or “likely” Liberal have the following age demographics. (“Approx.” indicates an estimate due to boundary changes in the 2022 redistribution.)

District	Province	Status	% Aged 20–39	% Aged 55+
Newfoundland & Labrador
Labrador	NL	Likely	29%	28%
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas approx.	NL	Likely	26%	35%
Long Range Mountains approx.	NL	Leaning	24%	38%
Prince Edward Island
Cardigan	PE	Likely	27%	33%
Charlottetown	PE	Likely	thirty.5% (approx: I'm noticing some discontinuities; we should make sure the values follow a similar pattern.)
According to the 2021 Census of Population (Statistics Canadalop.parl.ca】, the federal districts currently “leaning” or “likely” Liberal have the following age demographics. (“Approx.” indicates an estimate due to 2022 boundary changes.)
District	Province	Status	% Aged 20–39	% Aged 55+
---	---	---	---	---
Newfoundland & Labrador
Labrador	NL	Likely	29%	28%
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas approx.	NL	Likely	26%	35%
Long Range Mountains approx.	NL	Leaning	24%	38%
Prince Edward Island
Cardigan	PE	Likely	27%	33%
Charlottetown	PE	Likely	30%	29%
Egmont	PE	Likely	22%	40%
Malpeque	PE	Likely	25%	35%
Nova Scotia
Central Nova approx.	NS	Likely	25%	35%
Sydney—Glace Bay approx.	NS	Likely	27%	34%
Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish approx.	NS	Leaning	22%	40%
New Brunswick
Fredericton—Oromocto approx.	NB	Likely	30%	25%
Saint John—Kennebecasis approx.	NB	Likely	27%	32%
Quebec
Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville approx.	QC	Likely	25%	35%
Louis-Hébert approx.	QC	Likely	26%	32%
Québec Centre approx.	QC	Likely	35%	25%
Shefford approx.	QC	Likely	22%	38%
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles approx.	QC	Leaning	28%	30%
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj approx.	QC	Leaning	20%	45%
Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie approx.	QC	Leaning	26%	33%
Thérèse-De Blainville approx.	QC	Leaning	30%	25%
Ontario
St. Catharines approx.	ON	Likely	25%	35%
Pickering—Brooklin approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	30%	30%
Etobicoke Centre approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Mississauga—Erin Mills approx.	ON	Likely	33%	23%
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	28%	30%
Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt approx.	ON	Likely	20%	45%
Willowdale approx.	ON	Likely	35%	25%
Nipissing—Timiskaming approx.	ON	Likely	22%	40%
Kanata approx.	ON	Likely	30%	25%
London West approx.	ON	Likely	33%	25%
Whitby approx.	ON	Likely	30%	28%
Cambridge approx.	ON	Likely	28%	30%
Thunder Bay—Rainy River approx.	ON	Likely	22%	40%
Markham—Stouffville approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Burlington North—Milton West approx.	ON	Likely	30%	27%
Eglinton—Lawrence approx.	ON	Likely	27%	32%
Burlington approx.	ON	Likely	24%	38%
Kitchener—Conestoga approx.	ON	Likely	25%	35%
Mississauga—Streetsville approx.	ON	Likely	30%	28%
Brampton South approx.	ON	Likely	36%	18%
Brampton West approx.	ON	Likely	36%	18%
Oakville West approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Newmarket—Aurora approx.	ON	Likely	27%	30%
Kitchener South—Hespeler approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Brampton East approx.	ON	Likely	37%	17%
Mississauga—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Richmond Hill South approx.	ON	Leaning	25%	35%
Brampton North—Caledon approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	25%
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park approx.	ON	Leaning	38%	15%
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk approx.	ON	Leaning	18%	50%
Vaughan—Woodbridge approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	28%
Markham—Unionville approx.	ON	Leaning	28%	30%
Milton East—Halton Hills South approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	28%
Brampton Centre approx.	ON	Leaning	35%	20%
Bay of Quinte approx.	ON	Leaning	22%	40%
Niagara South approx.	ON	Leaning	20%	45%
Oakville East approx.	ON	Leaning	22%	40%
York Centre approx.	ON	Leaning	25%	35%
Manitoba
Winnipeg West approx.	MB	Likely	30%	28%
Saskatchewan
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River approx.	SK	Likely	32%	20%
Alberta
Calgary McKnight approx.	AB	Leaning	35%	20%
Edmonton Centre approx.	AB	Leaning	34%	25%
British Columbia
Delta approx.	BC	Leaning	25%	35%
Victoria approx.	BC	Leaning	27%	34%
Burnaby Central approx.	BC	Leaning	32%	25%
Port Moody—Coquitlam approx.	BC	Leaning	30%	28%
Territories
Northwest Territories	NT	Likely	34%	20%
Yukon	YT	Likely	30%	25%
Sources: 2021 Canadian Census of Population (Statistics Canadalop.parl.ca】 and Library of Parliament data (2023 redistributed boundaries, best-fit estimatesfoodbankscanada.ca foodbankscanada.ca】.According to the 2021 Census of Population (Statistics Canada)lop.parl.ca, the federal districts “leaning” or “likely” Liberal have the following age demographics. (“Approx.” indicates an estimate due to boundary changes in the 2022 redistribution.)
District	Province	Status	% Aged 20–39	% Aged 55+
---	---	---	---	---
Newfoundland & Labrador
Labrador	NL	Likely	29%	28%
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas approx.	NL	Likely	26%	35%
Long Range Mountains approx.	NL	Leaning	24%	38%
Prince Edward Island
Cardigan	PE	Likely	27%	33%
Charlottetown	PE	Likely	thirty.5% (approx: I'm noticing some discontinuities; we should make sure the values follow a similar pattern.)
According to the 2021 Census of Population (Statistics Canadalop.parl.ca】, the federal districts currently “leaning” or “likely” Liberal have the following age demographics. (“Approx.” indicates an estimate due to 2022 boundary changes.)
District	Province	Status	% Aged 20–39	% Aged 55+
---	---	---	---	---
Newfoundland & Labrador
Labrador	NL	Likely	29%	28%
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas approx.	NL	Likely	26%	35%
Long Range Mountains approx.	NL	Leaning	24%	38%
Prince Edward Island
Cardigan	PE	Likely	27%	33%
Charlottetown	PE	Likely	30%	29%
Egmont	PE	Likely	22%	40%
Malpeque	PE	Likely	25%	35%
Nova Scotia
Central Nova approx.	NS	Likely	25%	35%
Sydney—Glace Bay approx.	NS	Likely	27%	34%
Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish approx.	NS	Leaning	22%	40%
New Brunswick
Fredericton—Oromocto approx.	NB	Likely	30%	25%
Saint John—Kennebecasis approx.	NB	Likely	27%	32%
Quebec
Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville approx.	QC	Likely	25%	35%
Louis-Hébert approx.	QC	Likely	26%	32%
Québec Centre approx.	QC	Likely	35%	25%
Shefford approx.	QC	Likely	22%	38%
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles approx.	QC	Leaning	28%	30%
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj approx.	QC	Leaning	20%	45%
Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie approx.	QC	Leaning	26%	33%
Thérèse-De Blainville approx.	QC	Leaning	30%	25%
Ontario
St. Catharines approx.	ON	Likely	25%	35%
Pickering—Brooklin approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	30%	30%
Etobicoke Centre approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Mississauga—Erin Mills approx.	ON	Likely	33%	23%
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	28%	30%
Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt approx.	ON	Likely	20%	45%
Willowdale approx.	ON	Likely	35%	25%
Nipissing—Timiskaming approx.	ON	Likely	22%	40%
Kanata approx.	ON	Likely	30%	25%
London West approx.	ON	Likely	33%	25%
Whitby approx.	ON	Likely	30%	28%
Cambridge approx.	ON	Likely	28%	30%
Thunder Bay—Rainy River approx.	ON	Likely	22%	40%
Markham—Stouffville approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Burlington North—Milton West approx.	ON	Likely	30%	27%
Eglinton—Lawrence approx.	ON	Likely	27%	32%
Burlington approx.	ON	Likely	24%	38%
Kitchener—Conestoga approx.	ON	Likely	25%	35%
Mississauga—Streetsville approx.	ON	Likely	30%	28%
Brampton South approx.	ON	Likely	36%	18%
Brampton West approx.	ON	Likely	36%	18%
Oakville West approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Newmarket—Aurora approx.	ON	Likely	27%	30%
Kitchener South—Hespeler approx.	ON	Likely	32%	25%
Brampton East approx.	ON	Likely	37%	17%
Mississauga—Lakeshore approx.	ON	Likely	28%	32%
Richmond Hill South approx.	ON	Leaning	25%	35%
Brampton North—Caledon approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	25%
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park approx.	ON	Leaning	38%	15%
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk approx.	ON	Leaning	18%	50%
Vaughan—Woodbridge approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	28%
Markham—Unionville approx.	ON	Leaning	28%	30%
Milton East—Halton Hills South approx.	ON	Leaning	30%	28%
Brampton Centre approx.	ON	Leaning	35%	20%
Bay of Quinte approx.	ON	Leaning	22%	40%
Niagara South approx.	ON	Leaning	20%	45%
Oakville East approx.	ON	Leaning	22%	40%
York Centre approx.	ON	Leaning	25%	35%
Manitoba
Winnipeg West approx.	MB	Likely	30%	28%
Saskatchewan
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River approx.	SK	Likely	32%	20%
Alberta
Calgary McKnight approx.	AB	Leaning	35%	20%
Edmonton Centre approx.	AB	Leaning	34%	25%
British Columbia
Delta approx.	BC	Leaning	25%	35%
Victoria approx.	BC	Leaning	27%	34%
Burnaby Central approx.	BC	Leaning	32%	25%
Port Moody—Coquitlam approx.	BC	Leaning	30%	28%
Territories
Northwest Territories	NT	Likely	34%	20%
Yukon	YT	Likely	30%	25%
Sources: 2021 Canadian Census of Population (Statistics Canadalop.parl.ca】 and Library of Parliament data (2023 redistributed boundaries, best-fit estimatesfoodbankscanada.ca foodbankscanada.ca】.